Squeeze Breakout for XAGUSD (Silver)

Trade the breakout of a Bollinger Band squeeze — entries only when volatility expands.

Why Squeeze Breakout Works on XAGUSD

A "squeeze" happens when Bollinger Bands contract inside the Keltner Channel — volatility is unusually low. The strategy waits for the squeeze to release, then trades in the direction of the expansion. Filters out chop, captures the start of new trends. Works best on volatile symbols where squeezes are rare and consequential.

Silver (XAGUSD) is more volatile than gold with sharper retracements. Mean-reversion and breakout strategies tend to outperform trend-following on lower timeframes.

Commodities like gold and silver have well-defined fundamental drivers — central bank policy, real yields, USD strength. Combined with the technical setup below, this gives the strategy two independent edges.

Pine Script Source

Copy this into PineForge — backtest on XAGUSD or any supported symbol, then deploy as a live bot.

//@version=5
strategy("Squeeze Breakout", overlay=true)

length = input.int(20, "Length")
bb_mult = input.float(2.0, "BB Multiplier")
kc_mult = input.float(1.5, "KC Multiplier")

basis = ta.sma(close, length)
dev = ta.stdev(close, length)
bb_upper = basis + dev * bb_mult
bb_lower = basis - dev * bb_mult
atr = ta.atr(length)
kc_upper = basis + atr * kc_mult
kc_lower = basis - atr * kc_mult

squeeze = bb_upper < kc_upper and bb_lower > kc_lower
release = not squeeze and squeeze[1]

if release and close > basis
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

if release and close < basis
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)