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Trend FollowingXAGUSD

EMA Crossover for XAGUSD (Silver)

Two exponential moving averages — buy when the fast crosses above the slow, exit when it crosses back.

Indicators

EMA 9, EMA 21

Recommended Timeframes

1h, 4h, 1d

Symbol Volatility

very-high

Trading Sessions

London, New York (24/5)

Why EMA Crossover Works on XAGUSD

The EMA crossover is the textbook trend-following strategy. A fast EMA (typically 9–13) reacts to recent price; a slow EMA (21–50) tracks the broader trend. The crossover marks a regime change. It captures large directional moves in trending markets and fails predictably in chop — making it easy to layer with a regime filter.

Silver (XAGUSD) is more volatile than gold with sharper retracements. Mean-reversion and breakout strategies tend to outperform trend-following on lower timeframes.

Commodities like gold and silver have well-defined fundamental drivers — central bank policy, real yields, USD strength. Combined with the technical setup below, this gives the strategy two independent edges.

Best For

  • • Strong directional trends
  • • Higher timeframes (≥1H)

Avoid In

  • • Tight ranges
  • • Pre-news drifting

Pine Script Source

Copy this into PineForge — backtest on XAGUSD or any supported symbol, then deploy as a live bot.

ema-crossover.pinePine Script v5
//@version=5
strategy("EMA Crossover 9/21", overlay=true)

fast_ema = ta.ema(close, 9)
slow_ema = ta.ema(close, 21)

if ta.crossover(fast_ema, slow_ema)
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

if ta.crossunder(fast_ema, slow_ema)
    strategy.close("Long")

Backtest EMA Crossover on XAGUSD in 30 seconds

Sign up for PineForge, paste this Pine Script, and run a 1-year backtest on real XAGUSD data — no credit card required.

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